Difference between revisions of "User:Vincecate/Migration"

From Seasteading
Jump to: navigation, search
(Evaluating route safety)
(Evaluating route safety)
Line 27: Line 27:
 
My charts also have contour lines for the chances of waves over 12 feet.  The lowest probablility contour is either 5% or 10% and the places/times on my route are always less than the lowest contour line.   
 
My charts also have contour lines for the chances of waves over 12 feet.  The lowest probablility contour is either 5% or 10% and the places/times on my route are always less than the lowest contour line.   
  
My charts also have chances of a gale.  Where I have June is right between 0% and 1% chance of a gale during the month (should have made it just a bit lower).  The rest of the time the chance of a gale is around 0% (they note that 0% means closer to 0 than 1% but maybe not really 0).  By "gale" my charts mean at least force 8 on the [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beaufort_scale| Beaufortscale] which might be just 18 foot seas:
+
My charts also have chances of a gale.  Where I have June is right between 0% and 1% chance of a gale during the month (should have made it just a bit lower).  The rest of the time the chance of a gale is around 0% (they note that 0% means closer to 0 than 1% but maybe not really 0).  By "gale" my charts mean at least force 8 on the [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beaufort_scale| Beaufort scale] which might be just 18 foot seas:
  
 
So it looks like we could make a route with a 1% chance (or maybe less) of an 18 foot sea once during during the year.  
 
So it looks like we could make a route with a 1% chance (or maybe less) of an 18 foot sea once during during the year.  

Revision as of 19:08, 17 June 2008

MigratoryPath.jpg


Imagine each seastead uses a kite and sea anchor to move in a big circle around the Sargasso Sea once each year. The currents are almost fast enough to do this, so even a slow seastead can probably make it. I am thinking Anguilla, Bermuda, Azores, back to Anguilla. We could time it so that we were in the North-Eastern half of this loop to avoid the hurricane season in the South-West and then in the South-Western half of the loop to avoid the cold stormy season in the North-Atlantic. With computers controlling the kites and sea anchors I think we can move at the right speed to make this happen. I think if we checked historical information that doing this you would never have had to face even a 30 foot wave in the last 100+ years.

On the edge of this Gyre there is dependable wind. In the middle it can be calm.

Climate and power usage

This type of migration keeps the house in a comfortable climate all year. Heating or air-conditioning may not even be necessary. In any case it reduces the power requirements.


Dodging bad weather

If you have the ability to move, even slow movement can be enough to get out of the middle of a hurricane's path, even if you start there. These days you can get more than 4 days warning for a hurricane. If you can move 2+ MPH then in 4 days you can move over 200 miles. This should be enough to reduce the maximum wave experienced to less than 30 feet. If you are on a route that should not have hurricanes or storms, and have the ability to adjust the route some based on the weather forecast, and can handle 30 foot waves, you should be safe.

Access to land

Would also mean that at 3 times during the year shopping or taking on cargo would be easy. This route passes near the Caribbean, Bermuda, and the Azores. This makes it easier to meet with landlubbers too. You could meet them on the island or they could visit the seastead. Tourists could visit for a couple months from the Caribbean to Bermuda or around 5 months on the other legs.

Evaluating route safety

I have checked the potential route in the graphic at the top against my "Pilot Charts" for the North Atlantic.

First, the route seems safe from hurricanes.

My charts also have contour lines for the chances of waves over 12 feet. The lowest probablility contour is either 5% or 10% and the places/times on my route are always less than the lowest contour line.

My charts also have chances of a gale. Where I have June is right between 0% and 1% chance of a gale during the month (should have made it just a bit lower). The rest of the time the chance of a gale is around 0% (they note that 0% means closer to 0 than 1% but maybe not really 0). By "gale" my charts mean at least force 8 on the Beaufort scale which might be just 18 foot seas:

So it looks like we could make a route with a 1% chance (or maybe less) of an 18 foot sea once during during the year.

It is at force 9 that waves start breaking in the open ocean, which can be particularly hard on structures

So I think the odds are you could go 100 years on a route like this and never see waves over 30 feet or breaking waves. But would be nice to get more information. I doubt I have the most optimal route already but it gets the idea across.

Forum discussion

There is a bit more on this in a thread on the forum.